Trump posted 37 times on Truth Social in under an hour, and the “Will Trump post ‘Ass’ or ‘Shit’ on Truth Social this week?” market is expected to see a 15% move upward.
The posting burst coincided with U.S.-Iran tensions, with Trump’s posts attacking Pope Leo XIV and NATO allies. The aggressive tone across these posts has increased the perceived likelihood of profanity appearing on his feed. The April 12 market is the primary focus, with 359 days left to resolve.
Face value volume on this market remains at $0, with no significant trades recorded yet. But Trump’s pattern of inflammatory language and his recent provocations make a profanity-laden post plausible. His confrontational stance on Iran and public feuds with international figures give traders reason to think the specified words could appear in a post this week.
Trump’s posts are tied to specific diplomatic friction points, not generic bluster. He is publicly feuding with the Pope and NATO allies while escalating rhetoric on Iran. For traders, a YES share at current lower entry prices would pay well if profanity shows up in his posts this week.
Watch Trump’s Truth Social output, particularly posts about international diplomacy figures or military actions. Any shift toward more explicit language could move this market.
Get prediction market intelligence as a structured API feed. Early access waitlist.
Related to This Story ▼ Trump’s social media posts disrupt US-Iran peace talks, April deal odds fall
