Rising inflation driven by energy costs is pinching American wallets, with 65% of consumers saying price increases outpace their income. Bitcoin above $62,000 on April 18 sits at 99.9% YES.
The inflation uptick from 2.4% to 3.3% in March, fueled by the Iran conflict, has created bearish sentiment for Bitcoin. Bitcoin above $62,000 on April 18 remains at 99.9% YES, but the geopolitical situation could change this outlook. Traders see inflation as a potential drag on Bitcoin, though current odds suggest confidence in holding above $62,000.
WTI crude oil hitting $160 in April is where the stakes rise. Energy disruptions are driving a bullish case for oil, with odds reflecting a significant move in prices. The market’s current positioning indicates traders expect continued strain from the Iran conflict.
Bitcoin market daily volume is at $356,534. The backdrop of rising inflation could lead to policy tightening, reducing crypto liquidity. The largest move in the last 24 hours was a near-zero shift, pointing to price stability with underlying tension.
Current inflationary pressures are likely more noise than a permanent shift for Bitcoin. At 99.9¢, a YES share returns $1 if Bitcoin stays above $62,000 by April 18. For a sharp downturn to make sense, major geopolitical resolutions or sudden market shifts would need to occur.
Keep an eye on Fed statements and any changes in US-Iran relations. Watch for Trump’s next speech or a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which could shift oil and crypto markets.
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Bitcoin Above On April 14| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 14 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 18 | 99.9% | — | — | Trade → |
