Analysis

XRP price drops below $1.61 – 2 factors for the bulls avoid $1.10

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Regulatory clarity failed to rescue structure. With $1.61 lost, XRP’s path may run through $1.21…or lower.

Posted: March 2, 2026 Avatar

By: Akashnath S Journalist Edited By: Renuka Tahelyani XRP price drops below $1.61 – 2 factors for the bulls avoid $1.10

Akashnath S Journalist Edited By: Renuka Tahelyani Posted: March 2, 2026 Share this article

The Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum [ETH] Spot ETF flows reflected an unstable pattern in the final week of February. Large flows into Bitcoin slowed down on Friday, hinting at stalled momentum.

Ripple [XRP] and Solana [SOL] were more consistent, and their inflows, though not massive, were taken as a positive note.

In the long-term, the resolution of the major legal challenges between Ripple and the SEC saw XRP break free of the “regulatory discount” hanging over it for years.

Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView

The spot ETF flows and the regulatory clarity did not ease the long-term XRP price outlook. The weekly chart showed a bearish swing structure.

This was confirmed after a weekly session closed below the swing low at $1.61.

This low was established in April 2025, and it had precipitated a bullish structure break later in the year, making it a valid swing point. Therefore, the long-term price trends were bearish.

Two magnetic zones the XRP price could gravitate to next

Source: CoinGlass

The 1-month Liquidation Heatmap showed that $1.80 and $1.10 were the nearby liquidation clusters that XRP could move to. The $1.70-$1.90 area was a denser cluster of short liquidations, but the $1.10 and $1.26 zones were closer.

Therefore, it is possible that the $1.10 area is targeted first.

Traders’ call to action- Respect the bearish structure in place

Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView

Using the same price action principles as the weekly chart, the 4-hour chart also reflected a bearish swing structure.

Over the past few days, the XRP price bounced from the $1.27 low to nearly test the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $1.44.

The $1.41-$1.44 area was the golden pocket for the bearish move to continue from, and so it has played out.

Based on the evidence at hand, the next XRP price target is the 23.6% southward extension at $1.21.

The CMF was straying below -0.05 in recent days to signal sizeable capital outflow from the market. The Awesome Oscillator crossed over below the zero line, confirming the momentum shift after the bounce to $1.4.

Final Summary

The long-term XRP price trend was bearish after it closed a weekly session below the $1.61 swing low.
The bounce and rejection from the $1.4 supply zone confirmed that the short-term XRP trend direction was also bearish.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

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Akashnath S

Akashnath S is a Senior Journalist and Technical Analysis expert at AMBCrypto. He specializes in dissecting price action, identifying key market trends through advanced chart patterns, and forecasting both short-term and long-term asset trajectories. More Articles