US deploys 18 additional A-10 aircraft to middle east
US Forces Enter Iran
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Add us on Google by Estefano Gomez Apr. 1, 2026The US has sent 18 more A-10 aircraft to the Middle East as part of Operation Epic Fury. The odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 are now at 54% YES, down from 56% yesterday.
Traders are adjusting their positions following this military move. The April 30 market is at 54% YES, a 2% drop. The December 31 market remains at 64.5% YES, suggesting expectations for later developments. The March 31 market is stagnant at 0.1% YES.
The A-10s enhance air support and strike capabilities, but traders are wary of immediate ground action. The 11-point spread between April 30 and December 31 reflects anticipation of a later catalyst.
Trading shows $1.5M in USDC volume in the April 30 market, with $61,472 needed to move the market by 5 points, indicating deep liquidity. The largest recent move was a 4-point drop at 3:15 PM.
This deployment strengthens the US military stance in the region but hasn’t significantly changed ground troop odds. At 54¢, a YES share for April 30 pays $1 if US forces enter Iran, offering an 85% potential gain. Watch for Pentagon updates or changes in CENTCOM’s language for new signals.
Markets Impacted
- US forces enter Iran by March 31? — currently 0.1% YES
- US forces enter Iran by April 30? — currently 53.5% YES
- US forces enter Iran by December 31? — currently 64.5% YES
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Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
