Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon are set to release earnings after market close today, while the Fed’s interest rate decision is due at 2 PM ET. Bitcoin’s dip to $60,000 by April 30 is priced at 22% YES on Polymarket.
The Bitcoin price prediction market prices a potential dip to $60,000 by April 30 at 22% YES, with traders factoring in rising oil prices and potential rate hikes. With just a day left before resolution, bets reflect expectations of market turbulence pulling Bitcoin lower.
The largest company by April 30 market has NVIDIA at 99.8% YES, even with earnings coming from four other major tech companies. The market saw a 50-point drop at 11:40 AM in the last 24 hours, suggesting sensitivity to potential earnings surprises.
Volume across the largest company markets hit $421,079 in USDC traded over the last 24 hours, with a combined face value of $537,804. The order book requires $105,270 to move the price by 5 percentage points. That 50-point drop at 11:40 AM likely reflects anticipatory positioning ahead of the earnings releases.
For traders, a YES share in the Bitcoin dip market at 22¢ pays $1 if Bitcoin hits $60,000 by April 30, a potential 4.5x return. That bet requires expecting further risk-off sentiment driven by tech earnings misses or a hawkish Fed decision.
Watch for the Fed’s rate decision language and post-close earnings numbers from all four companies. Any significant deviation from expectations could move these markets quickly. Jensen Huang’s remarks post-earnings or surprise announcements from the reporting companies will matter most for the NVIDIA market cap question.
Get prediction market intelligence as a structured API feed. Early access waitlist.
Largest Company End Of April 738| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 99.8% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 0.1% | — | — | Trade → |
