Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales have resigned from the U.S. House of Representatives. The market for Eric Swalwell out as U.S. Representative by May 31 sits at 100% YES, with both departures tied to allegations of sexual misconduct.
The Eric Swalwell market is locked at 100% YES. With 37 days until the May 31 deadline, traders see no path to reversal. The House Ethics Committee’s ongoing investigations reinforce these odds.
Volume in the Swalwell market is at $0, meaning no one is taking the other side. Zero trading activity confirms that participants treat this as settled.
For traders, a YES share at current odds offers no upside since the resolution is fully priced in. Swalwell’s resignation under ethics scrutiny closes out the market as a confirmation event, not a speculative one.
Watch California Governor Gavin Newsom for announcements on a special election, which would formally end Swalwell’s congressional tenure. Also track any House Ethics Committee statements, as the committee continues to scrutinize other members.
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Eric Swalwell Out As Us Rep May 31| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 5.5% | — | — | Trade → |
