Senator Kevin Cramer has indicated that the US is nearing passage of Bitcoin and crypto legislation. Polymarket odds for Bitcoin staying above $60,000 on April 19 sit at 99.8% YES.
Market reaction
The April 19 market, which tracks whether Bitcoin will stay above $60,000, is priced at 99.8%. With only three days until resolution, the market assigns near-certainty to Bitcoin holding above that level as legislative momentum builds.
In the broader Bitcoin price in April market, odds of Bitcoin dipping below $60,000 have fallen to 0.2%. The term structure shows no significant price shifts expected over the next week, with all sub-markets firmly pricing Bitcoin above key resistance levels.
Why it matters
Real USDC trading volume over the last 24 hours is $390,585. Order book depth shows it would take $32,199 to move the price five points, meaning current pricing is resistant to minor fluctuations. No large single-candle movement is visible, consistent with stable trader sentiment.
Cramer’s statement matters because of the bipartisan push for the CLARITY Act. At 99.8¢, buying YES shares is a bet that Bitcoin stays above $60,000 by April 19, paying $1 on resolution. Traders are pricing in continued benefit from potential regulatory clarity.
What to watch
The Senate Banking Committee is targeting late April for markup. Any announcements of resolved sticking points on the CLARITY Act could strengthen Bitcoin’s price support in these markets.
API access
Get prediction market intelligence as a structured API feed. Early access waitlist.
Bitcoin Price On April 15| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 15 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 14 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 16 | 99.9% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 19 | 99.9% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 17 | 99.9% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 20 | 99.9% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 18 | 99.9% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 13 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 15 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 14 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
