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Polymarket Has an Insider Trading Problem and the Numbers Prove It
Someone keeps winning at exactly the right moment. That is not luck
Brian Hulela5 min read·Just now--
In March 2026, CNN published the results of a blockchain analysis conducted by a firm called Bubblemaps. They had been tracking a single trader on Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market platform. What they found was difficult to explain.
The trader had placed dozens of bets on US and Israeli military actions against Iran. They won 93% of those bets. The wagers were five-figure amounts. The total profit since 2024 came to nearly $1 million.
Several of the winning bets were placed hours before military strikes that had not been announced publicly. These were not educated guesses about well-telegraphed events. They were precise bets on operations that were classified information at the time the money went down.
Nobody has been charged. The platform kept the trades live. The money was paid out. This is Polymarket in 2026.
What Polymarket actually is
Polymarket is a prediction market. Users bet on the outcome of real-world events using cryptocurrency. Elections, economic data, sports results, geopolitical events, celebrity news.
