Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin Trust has surpassed $103 million in inflows in just six trading days, exceeding WisdomTree’s Bitcoin Fund. On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Price Predictions for April market shows 100% YES for Bitcoin being between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15, up from 28% just 24 hours ago.
Market reaction
That 72-point jump in a single day is one of the sharpest moves in recent Polymarket Bitcoin contracts. The April 17 market for Bitcoin being above $62,000 sits at 99.9% YES. Trading volume hit $119,209 in actual USDC over the past 24 hours. The largest single move was a 31-point spike at 3:31 PM, showing how quickly sentiment can shift when order book depth is thin enough to be swayed by relatively modest trades.
Why it matters
Morgan Stanley’s trust carries a 0.14% expense ratio, undercutting BlackRock and forcing fee compression across Bitcoin ETFs. Reaching $103 million in six days puts it ahead of WisdomTree’s pace and signals that large financial institutions are treating Bitcoin as a core portfolio asset rather than a speculative allocation. That kind of institutional capital flow tends to support price stability.
The market for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April remains uncertain, with no clear odds provided. Institutional inflows point to positive sentiment but don’t directly address downside risks from macro shocks or liquidation cascades.
What to watch
A YES share for Bitcoin above $62,000 on April 17, priced at 99¢, pays $1 if it resolves. At that price, the trade is a bet on nothing going catastrophically wrong in the next few days. Watch for BlackRock’s ETF inflow numbers or any FOMC announcements on interest rate policy, as either could provide the next directional signal for Bitcoin pricing on Polymarket.
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Bitcoin Price On April 15| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 15 | 100% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 17 | 99.9% | — | — | Trade → |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 18 | 99.8% | — | — | Trade → |
