Jan van Eck: Bitcoin adoption stagnation impacts price expectations, private credit offers high yields, and gold is reemerging as a global currency | The Pomp Podcast
Gold's rising status as a global currency challenges traditional investment strategies amid economic stability.
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Add us on Google by Editorial Team May. 28, 2026Key takeaways
- Bitcoin adoption has stagnated over the past two years, impacting price expectations.
- BDC pricing shows a disconnect with actual high yield market default rates.
- The US economy is currently strong, reducing the likelihood of a spike in defaults.
- Private credit issuers offer high yields and significant growth potential.
- The ETF business is a major growth area in financial services.
- Fixed income ETFs provide liquidity but are vulnerable during market dislocations.
- Gold is gaining traction as a global currency and valuable asset class.
- Asset class selection is crucial in investment decision-making.
- Gold may outperform equities due to dollar debasement rather than company productivity.
- Rising production costs are affecting the profitability of gold mining companies.
- Institutional adoption of Bitcoin remains limited, affecting its market dynamics.
- High yield market conditions present both risks and opportunities for investors.
- Economic indicators suggest a stable environment for corporate America.
- The growth of ETFs is reshaping the landscape of financial services.
- Gold’s role in the economy is becoming increasingly significant.
Guest intro
Jan van Eck is the Chief Executive Officer of VanEck, a global asset manager known for its ETFs and digital asset investment products. He has led the firm since 1992, helping grow it from about $1 billion in assets under management to tens of billions as it became one of the leading ETF providers.
Bitcoin adoption and price expectations
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The adoption of Bitcoin has not significantly changed in the last two years, which affects its price expectations.
— Jan van Eck
- Central banks and corporations have not embraced Bitcoin, limiting its price growth.
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Why would you expect some big change in the price of Bitcoin when nothing has happened?
— Jan van Eck
- The stagnation in Bitcoin adoption suggests a need for new catalysts for price movement.
- Institutional adoption remains a key factor for future Bitcoin price increases.
- Market participants should adjust their expectations based on current adoption trends.
- The lack of significant adoption changes challenges bullish Bitcoin narratives.
- Investors should be cautious about expecting rapid price increases without adoption shifts.
BDC pricing and high yield market
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BDC pricing reflects a disconnect with actual default rates in the high yield market.
— Jan van Eck
- BDCs are pricing in a 10% default rate, while actual rates are around 2.5%.
- This disconnect presents potential investment opportunities in the BDC space.
- Investors should consider the actual risk versus perceived risk in BDCs.
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The reality of the high yield market now arguably it’s that’s high graded a little bit.
— Jan van Eck
- Understanding these discrepancies can lead to more informed investment decisions.
- The high yield market’s current state suggests stability rather than impending defaults.
- BDCs may offer attractive returns if the market corrects this pricing disconnect.
US economy and default outlook
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The US economy is in good shape, suggesting no huge spike in defaults is expected.
— Jan van Eck
- Corporate America is currently stable, reducing default risks.
- Economic indicators support a positive outlook for credit markets.
- Investors can be optimistic about the near-term economic environment.
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There’s no reason to think we’re gonna get this huge spike in defaults.
Advertisement— Jan van Eck
- A stable economy supports continued growth and investment opportunities.
- The strength of the US economy provides a buffer against potential downturns.
- Credit markets are likely to remain resilient in the current economic climate.
Private credit investment opportunities
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Private credit issuers present an exciting investment opportunity due to their high yields and growth potential.
— Jan van Eck
- Companies like Blue Owl offer high yields, making them attractive to investors.
- The private credit market is growing, offering new opportunities for returns.
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That’s a very exciting story when you look at let’s take Blue Owl.
— Jan van Eck
- High yields in private credit can enhance portfolio performance.
- Investors should explore private credit as a diversification strategy.
- The growth potential in private credit is driven by market demand and innovation.
- Private credit investments can provide stability in uncertain markets.
ETF market growth and impact
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The ETF business continues to grow and is a significant area of expansion in financial services.
— Jan van Eck
- ETFs are reshaping the financial services landscape with their growth.
- The expansion of ETFs offers new opportunities for investors and firms.
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It’s the growth area of financial services.
— Jan van Eck
- Investors are increasingly turning to ETFs for diversification and liquidity.
- The ETF market’s growth is driven by innovation and investor demand.
- ETFs provide accessible investment options for a wide range of investors.
- The continued growth of ETFs is expected to impact traditional investment strategies.
Fixed income ETFs and market dislocations
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Fixed income ETFs provide liquidity but are vulnerable during market dislocations.
— Jan van Eck
- Only a small percentage of bonds in fixed income ETFs trade daily, affecting liquidity.
- Market dislocations can expose vulnerabilities in fixed income ETFs.
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It’s really become a very liquid vehicle now it’s vulnerable when you have market dislocations.
— Jan van Eck
- Investors should be aware of the risks associated with fixed income ETFs during volatility.
- Understanding the mechanics of fixed income ETFs can inform investment decisions.
- Fixed income ETFs offer benefits but require careful risk management.
- Market conditions can significantly impact the performance of fixed income ETFs.
Gold as a global currency and asset class
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Gold is reemerging as a global currency and is a powerful asset class in the right economic environment.
— Jan van Eck
- The economic climate supports gold’s role as a valuable investment.
- Gold’s reemergence is driven by global economic and currency trends.
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I am very bullish over the next ten years because I think gold is reemerging as a global currency.
— Jan van Eck
- Investors should consider gold for its stability and long-term value.
- Gold’s performance is linked to economic conditions and government policies.
- The strategic value of gold is becoming more apparent in today’s market.
- Gold offers a hedge against currency devaluation and economic uncertainty.
Importance of asset class selection
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The number one question when discussing investments is whether clients want to own the asset class.
— Jan van Eck
- Asset class selection is critical for aligning investments with client goals.
- Understanding client preferences is essential for successful investment strategies.
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Your asset class decision is so important.
— Jan van Eck
- Investors must consider the long-term implications of asset class choices.
- Asset class decisions can significantly impact portfolio performance and risk.
- Effective asset class selection requires knowledge of market trends and client needs.
- The right asset class can enhance returns and provide stability in portfolios.
Gold versus equities and dollar debasement
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Gold may outperform equities due to the debasement of the dollar rather than the productivity of underlying companies.
— Jan van Eck
- Historical trends show gold’s potential to outperform equities in certain periods.
- The dollar’s debasement impacts the relative performance of gold and equities.
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It suggests that maybe a lot of the equity growth has really just been the debasement of the dollar.
— Jan van Eck
- Investors should consider gold as a hedge against currency devaluation.
- Gold’s performance relative to equities highlights its strategic value.
- The relationship between gold and equities is influenced by macroeconomic factors.
- Understanding these dynamics can inform investment strategies and asset allocation.
Rising production costs and gold mining
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The cost of producing commodities, including gold, has increased, affecting the profitability of gold mining companies.
— Jan van Eck
- Inflation and resource scarcity are driving up production costs in mining.
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We’re running out so you have to dig more tons of dirt for every little ounce of gold.
— Jan van Eck
- Higher production costs impact the profitability and valuation of gold mining firms.
- Investors should be aware of the challenges facing the mining industry.
- Rising costs may affect supply and demand dynamics in the gold market.
- The profitability of gold mining companies is linked to broader economic trends.
- Understanding these cost factors is crucial for evaluating mining investments.