## Market Snapshot
US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 is priced at 5.5% YES, down from 6% a day ago. The likelihood of Iran surrendering its uranium stockpile by the end of 2026 is 43.5% YES, a slight decrease from 44% previously.
## Key Takeaways
– Iran’s statement appears to decrease the probability of the US obtaining enriched uranium by May 31. – The refusal to transfer uranium suggests a reduced likelihood of Iran surrendering its stockpile by the end of 2026. – Market pricing reflects skepticism about imminent US-Iran uranium agreements.
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