James Comer, House Oversight Committee Chair, says some members are open to President Trump pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell. The market for the Epstein client list being released by June 30 sits at 5.5% YES, down from 12% a week ago.
The pardon-as-bargaining-chip idea has stirred interest but hasn’t moved the odds much. The Epstein client list market dropped 1.5 points in the past 24 hours, with traders skeptical that Maxwell’s cooperation would actually produce a client list release. The June 30 contract has traded just $834 in actual USDC, a thin volume that signals limited conviction.
The largest move in this market was a 1-point drop at 10:11 AM, pointing to incremental shifts rather than any dramatic reassessment. The order book requires just $1,299 to move 5 points, which means a single large order could swing the price without broad agreement behind it.
A pardon is a wildcard, but without concrete steps from Trump or the DOJ, it stays speculative. A YES share at 5.5¢ pays $1 if the list is released by June 30, a 18.2x return. Collecting on that bet means expecting a pardon announcement or direct confirmation of Maxwell’s cooperation in the next few weeks.
Watch for signals from the White House or DOJ. If Trump or the DOJ publicly backs a pardon, or if Maxwell’s lawyers confirm her willingness to cooperate, this market could reprice fast.
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