Gemini taps SpaceXAI to develop personalized prediction markets feed

The Winklevoss twins' exchange is reportedly working with Elon Musk's AI division to bring personalized event contract recommendations to its regulated prediction markets platform.

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Add us on Google by Editorial Team May. 28, 2026

Gemini, the crypto exchange co-founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, is reportedly partnering with SpaceXAI, the AI division born from Elon Musk’s integration of xAI into his broader operations, to build a personalized prediction markets feed for its Gemini Predictions platform.

The collaboration would pair Gemini’s CFTC-regulated prediction markets infrastructure with SpaceXAI’s Grok AI model to surface tailored event contracts for individual users.

Gemini’s prediction markets push

Gemini has been building toward this moment for years. Its affiliate, Gemini Titan, filed for Designated Contract Market status with the CFTC back on March 10, 2020. The approval didn’t come until around December 10, 2025, a five-year regulatory slog.

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Gemini Predictions went live five days later on December 15, 2025, available on web and iOS, with Android support still to follow. The platform lets US users trade binary event contracts, essentially yes/no wagers on real-world outcomes like economic data releases and sports results, all settled in US dollars.

Then in April 2026, Gemini secured an additional CFTC approval, this time as a derivatives clearinghouse, or DCO. That means Gemini can now handle clearing in-house rather than relying on third parties, reducing costs and speeding up settlement for traders on the platform.

SpaceXAI and the Grok connection

SpaceXAI emerged in May 2026 when Musk’s xAI was formally integrated into SpaceX’s broader operational structure. The rebranded division retained the Grok large language model as its flagship product. SpaceXAI has worked with Anthropic on compute infrastructure and developed AI tools aimed at event prediction insights.

What this means for investors

Kalshi, which received its own CFTC approval as a DCM in 2020, has been the primary player in the regulated segment. Polymarket operates offshore and doesn’t serve US users directly. Gemini’s entry, backed by both DCM and DCO approvals, creates a genuine three-way competitive dynamic in a market that’s been either too regulated to grow or too unregulated to attract institutional capital.

Gemini is publicly traded under the ticker GEMI, which means investors can track whether this bet on prediction markets actually moves the needle on revenue.

Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.