Congress has introduced a bill to create new national payment licenses for Bitcoin and crypto, potentially granting companies direct access to the Federal Reserve. Bitcoin prediction markets on Polymarket are seeing renewed interest across several price target contracts.
The Bitcoin Price in April market shows elevated interest around the April 30 target. The Bitcoin Price Predictions in April is also drawing trader attention, with the probability of Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 appearing lower amid this regulatory development.
Trading activity in the Bitcoin Price Predictions in April hit $8,786 in USDC traded over the last 24 hours. Participation remains relatively shallow at that volume, but the direction is clear: traders see a $60,000 dip as less likely with regulatory clarity on the horizon.
If Congress passes the bill, crypto companies would operate under a more defined federal framework, with potential direct Federal Reserve access removing a layer of intermediary friction. At current prices, buying YES at 22¢ pays $1 if Bitcoin doesn’t dip to $60,000 in April, a 4.5x return. That price implies traders assign roughly 78% probability to Bitcoin staying above $60,000 through month-end.
Watch for committee scheduling of the bill, any statements from Jerome Powell or Gary Gensler, and responses from large holders like BlackRock and MicroStrategy, as these could shift market expectations quickly.
Get prediction market intelligence as a structured API feed. Early access waitlist.
Bitcoin Price On April 14
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 14 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
What Price Will Bitcoin Hit On April 13
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 13 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
Bitcoin Price On April 15
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 15 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
Bitcoin Above On April 19
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 19 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
Bitcoin Above On April 16
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 16 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
What Price Will Bitcoin Hit On April 14
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 14 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
Bitcoin Above On April 17
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 17 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
Bitcoin Above On April 20
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 20 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
Bitcoin Above On April 18
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 18 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
Bitcoin Above On April 15
| Contract |
Odds |
Δ since publish |
Volume 24h |
|
| April 15 |
100% |
— |
— |
Trade → |
⚡ Also Impacted by This Story
