CENTCOM signals readiness as US-Iran nuclear deal prospects dim

## Market Snapshot US-Iran Nuclear Deal: Priced at 7.5% YES, down from 12% in 24 hours. US Military Action in 2026: Priced at 31.1% YES, slightly down from 34% but up from 29% a week ago. Iran’s Enriched Uranium Surrender: Priced at 43.5% YES for December 31, 2026, down from 46% in 24 hours.

## Key Takeaways – CENTCOM’s statement suggests decreased likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31. – The comments about military readiness appear supportive of increased US military action in 2026. – The probability of Iran surrendering enriched uranium by the end of the year appears to have decreased.